Originally published at: https://esportsone.com/blog/analysts-lineup-playoffs-r1-summer-2020/
Important Playoff Updates:
- Lineups lock this THURSDAY @ 1 PM PT
- Teams in the upper bracket have the opportunity to play 2 series during this contest if they lose their first series. This is called the “Guardian Angel” Schedule (GA)
- To account for the Best of 5 Series’, we take the 3 highest game scores for each player for their fantasy scores on the week
- See Playoff Rules & Scoring for all changes: Click Here
To help provide some insight on the thought process that goes into building a lineup, I am (so graciously) sharing my actual lineup with you and talking through my decisions. There are many factors and strategies to consider when filling each slot, so hopefully, my perspective can help shed some light on your own! And besides, talking lineups with other fans is one of the best parts of E1 Fantasy! GLHF!
Top: 100 Ssumday vs FLY or EG ($220k)
As much as I would’ve loved FLY Solo, the limited options this week hurt my ability to spend up in Top. There is a ton to be excited about in Ssumday, though. I am almost more encouraged about 100T never putting him on Ornn duty again after failing so badly against DIG. Ssumday led his entire team in scoring when he put up 37.9 points on Sunday against EG, whom I expect them to face again. There is an inherent risk without the GA schedule, but Ssumday’s floor is high enough to stomach it. TSM Broken Blade is the safer option with the GA schedule, but Ssumday has a higher upside at a lower price.
Other considerations: FLY Solo ($290k), TSM Broken Blade ($250k)
Jungler: 100 Contractz vs FLY or EG ($230k)
Initially, I had FLY Santorin here with 100T as my team, but I swapped the two for a little more safety. How I see it, if 100 Thieves beats EG, Contractz can score as much as any other Jungler, including Santorin. Even if 100 loses, Contractz has somewhat of a floor where he won’t bottom out. Contractz just put up 30.9 points on EG on Sunday, and I imagine a young, aggressive player like him feeds off of that momentum in a major way.
Other considerations: FLY Santorin ($300k), GG Closer ($280k)
Mid: FLY PowerOfEvil vs EG & 100 if they lose ($330k)
After realizing that I had some solid budget options at Top and Jungler, I knew I didn’t have to go down to GG Damonte in Mid. So then it came down to either POE or TSM Bjergsen. Both have very safe schedules, and both have massive upside. However, I went with POE because I feel that his matchup with EG gives him a better opportunity to reach that upside. EG leads the LCS in Deaths per Loss, so when they lose, they lose hard. Meanwhile, Bjergsen goes against a GG team that is bottom 3 in LCS in Combined Kills per Minute and Deaths per Loss, putting a cap on the upside.
Captain Pick: After a very successful last week as Captain, POE has my trust to do it again. He has shown he will never pass up an Orianna, so let’s hope he doesn’t try any surprise picks in the playoffs.
Other considerations: TSM Bjergsen ($320k), GG Damonte ($280k)
Bot: FLY WildTurtle vs EG & 100 if they lose ($310k)
Normally I don’t love having Mid and Bot from the same team as each player’s Kill Total is limited, but FLY has proven that there are plenty of points to go around. Turtle has averaged over 31 points per game during FLY’s 6-game Win streak, a streak which I expect to reach 9 very quickly. I think TSM Doublelift and FBI are very safe picks, but I expect FLY’s series to feature a lot more Kills and a lot more scoring opportunities.
Other considerations: TSM Doublelift ($320k), GG FBI ($300)
Support: TSM Treatz vs GG & DIG if they lose ($130k)
I really wanted FLY Ignar here. Always do. But with limited options, it is tough to go top dollar for Support. My first goal with Support; get guaranteed Wins. TSM’s GA schedule gives me that guarantee. More impressively, Treatz died ZERO TIMES over TSM’s recent 5-game win streak, a span which saw him top 18 points in 4 straight games. I really like GG Huhi this week because of the same schedule set up, but those win streak stats were just too juicy to pass up.
Other considerations: FLY Ignar ($160k), GG Huhi ($110k)
Team: Golden Guardians vs TSM & DIG if they lose ($280k)
GG Team is my #1 Team on the week. With the fact that they can drop a series to TSM and still have a DIG series to get their 3 wins, they are too good to pass up. They lead the LCS in Dragons per game and have the highest average game durations in the LCS as they play the slow/boring methodical playstyle that translates to lots of fantasy points for a Team. Like I said in Jungler, I downgraded in Jungle to spring for my favorite option here. I could have gone with 100T since I believe they will win, but a Team can completely bottom out if they don’t get all their wins (unlike Contractz who can still score). So I feel that GG Team is the ultimate safety move, countering the 100T risk I’m taking on at Top and Jungler.
Other considerations: 100 Thieves ($210k), Team SoloMid ($270)